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In this context, the fund delivered a negative performance in line with its reference indicator.
We were penalised by our allocation to equities, fixed income and alternative funds over the period.
We maintain our view that deficit reduction and tariffs are key contributors to stagflation in the U.S. economy.
In Europe, the scale of defense and infrastructure spending programs suggests higher growth, elevated inflation, and wider budget deficits. Nonetheless, retaliation measures and an escalation of the trade war could temporarily weigh on European growth.
As a result, we continue to believe that risk assets may face increased volatility.
We are maintaining our fund portfolio unchanged.
In equities, we are invested in the Carmignac Portfolio Investissement and Carmignac Portfolio Grandchildren funds.
In fixed income, we are invested in the Carmignac Portfolio Credit and Carmignac Portfolio Global Bond strategies.
Finally, in our alternative pocket, we hold stakes in the Carmignac Absolute Return Europe and Carmignac Portfolio Merger Arbitrage Plus funds.
Fixed Income Strategies | 39 % |
Equity Strategies | 36.7 % |
Alternative strategies | 20.2 % |
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Derivatives Operations | 4 % |
The strategy offers a balanced and diversified exposure to markets, benefiting from Carmignac's expertise in the equity, bond and alternative asset classes.”
Market environment
March was marked by significant turbulence in global financial markets as investors grappled with macroeconomic uncertainties stemming from trade tensions and fiscal policy shifts in Europe.
Germany pivoted away from its conservative fiscal policy, reforming the "debt brake" to allow for higher deficits and unveiling a historic fiscal stimulus plan, which includes €500 billion in infrastructure investment over the next decade and increased defense spending.
Reciprocal tariffs and sector-specific trade measures continue to weigh on US and global growth prospects and related fears of rising inflation.
In this context, policy uncertainty burdens US stocks while Europe’s pivot to infrastructure and defense bolsters performance in related sectors.
The S&P 500 enters correction territory, losing more than 10% from its February peak, dragged down by technology and growth stocks.
The rest of the world outperformed the US but were down in Euro terms, as the Euro rebounded strongly.
Growth concerns drive US yields lower, while European yields rise on the back of the fiscal shift in Germany.
Gold rose again amid these uncertainties, while Latin American currencies benefitted from the weakness of the US dollar